Incite -- (v) 1: give an incentive; 2: provoke or stir up; "incite a riot"; 3: urge on; cause to act
Tuesday, March 15, 2005

Belmont Disasters
Written by: Goemagog

From the Belmont Club:

At the one end, the DOD must face continuous challenges from asymmetrical opponents harboring in the hulks of failed, post-Colonial states. At the other, it must face conventional threats from rising Great Powers like China. America's enemies on these separate fronts will be naturally tempted to lend each other mutual aid.

Well, China is giving military assistance to Iran, threatening to attack Taiwan, and beefing up it's military.

Rumsfeld's response appears to be shaped by this reality. It is a search for systems, organizations and strategies which possess utility both against terrorism and rival states. In some cases a match will be easy to find. In others, most notably in the case of heavy divisions, manned aircraft and naval systems, there must be a trade-off between them.

What we're seeing is heavy divisions, manned aircraft, and naval systems traded in for research projects. Nobody knows if or when those research projects will result in deployable systems. We don't even know who will run those systems since military recruitment is dropping below sustainable levels.

The big problem with the Belmont Club's analysis is here:

For the first time in its history, the United States (and Europe too, had they the honesty to realize it) faces a two-front war, not spatially but dimensionally.

We actually face a poly-front war both dimensionally and spatially, and we've not the wherewithall to fight it. Our cold war military was set up to fight the Soviet Union. We had equipment and strategies to fight large armored battles on the plains of Europe. It's generally accepted that we needed to drop that military because future wars probably won't be fought on plains in Europe.

What is generally accepted is, in this case, wrong. We had equipment and strategies to fight the Soviet Union in large armored battles on the plains of Europe, and we had the equipment and strategies to fight the Soviet Union and it's allies in every other place that they might attack the United States or it's allies.

Throughout the Cold War, we kept the 10th Mountain Division in case we wound up fighting someplace with mountains. In the middle of the Cold War, the army created it's branch of special forces (the Green Berets) to train local militia's the world over in waging and resisting low-level warfare. The Pentagon, through DARPA and other agencies, created most of the technology found in our current military.

It used to be that the Pentagon based it's strategies and tactics on what it had on hand or could get into immediate production. The Pentagon is making it's plans to fight this war based on what it might have five or ten years from now.

When China makes a move on Taiwan, which will come somewhere between 2008 and 2020, what could anybody do to stop them? Our smaller elite units would be too vastly outnumbered to stand a chance, and our larger units are being dismantled to save money to buy the smaller elite units newer and better equipment.

If China invaded Taiwan today, there'd be practically nothing we could do about it. Since China has already invaded some of their neighbors, and is positioning itself to stake a territorial claim on North Korea, they're not likely to back down from Taiwan. They're also modernizing their military with the specific goal of being able to fight the United States. They can buy technology on par with ours off the shelf at home or in Europe, and they have the manpower to beat us in a head-to-head fight. All of the hinderances stalinistic regimes used to fight under are falling away as China shifts from stalinism to nazism.

But the Belmont Club thinks it'll be okay, because MacGyver now works at Stargate Command and will come with extra chewing gum if Rumsfeld calls him.

Goe, likes not living under chinese oppression.

Contact The Author:

John Beck

Feedback Welcomed

Greatest Hits

The Complete United Nations Posts
Immoderate Moderates
Marketing Myopia
In defense of the Republic
UKIP in America
Playing Connect the Dots
A Point So Often Missed: The Presence of an Administered Rate
Reagan Remembrance
Dr. Wolfowitz, or How I Supported the Right War Waged in the Wrong Way for the Wrong Reasons
Divine Right of Kings and UN Mandates
A Fantastic Idea, If I Do Say So Myself
Why We Were Right to Liberate Iraq
The Crisis of Conservatism

Blogs Worth Bookmarking

Steal The Blinds
Poor Dudley's Almanac
Protein Wisdom
Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler
New Sisyphus
Jim Treacher
Ace of Spades
Captain's Quarters
Rambling's Journal
Neolibertarian Blog
LLP Group Blog
The Llama Butchers
The Castle Argghhh
The Politburo Diktat
The Dissident Frogman
In Search of Utopia
Aaron's cc:
You Know You Wanna
Classical Values
Clowning Glory
Vice Squad
Hit & Run
Link Mecca
The Corner
Power Line
Michelle Malkin
Mises Institute
marchand chronicles
Enlighten - New Jersey

More Top Reads

SlagleRock's Slaughterhouse
This Blog is Full of Crap
Who Tends the Fires
The Bleat
Outside the Beltway
Small Dead Animals
Kim du Toit
Tman in Tennessee
Hog On Ice
Pardon My English
Mr. Minority
Speed Of Thought
La Shawn Barber
Right Wing News
USS Clueless
Belmont Club
Shades of Gray
Seldom Sober
Roger L. Simon
Tacoma Blaze
A Small Victory
Murdoc Online
Iraq Elections Diatribe
Winds of Change
Enlighten - New Jersey
Random Fate
Riding Sun
The Daily File
Matt "The Man" Margolis
Bastard Sword
Roller Coaster of Hate

News Links

Blogger News Network
National Review Online
Tech Central Station
The Drudge Report
Reason Online
Mises Institute
The Weekly Standard
Front Page Magazine
Town Hall

Affiliations, Accolades, & Acknowledgements

The Neolibertarian Network


Image Hosted by
"More tallent than a million monkeys with typewriters."
--Glenn Reynolds

Image Hosted by

Image Hosted by

Image Hosted by

Life, Liberty, Property Community

Reciprocal Blogrolling

Accidental Verbosity
Conservative Eyes
The Moderate Voice
Perpetual Three-Dot Column
Sudan Watch
Mystery Achievement
Le Sabot Post-Moderne
Comment Me No Comments
New Spew

Links That Amuse the Writers

Huffington's Toast
The IFOC News
Dave Barry's Blog
Drum Machine
Something Awful
Cox & Forkum
Exploding Dog


March 2004
April 2004
May 2004
June 2004
July 2004
August 2004
September 2004
October 2004
November 2004
December 2004
January 2005
February 2005
March 2005
April 2005
May 2005
June 2005
July 2005
August 2005
September 2005
October 2005
November 2005
December 2005
January 2006
February 2006
March 2006
April 2006
May 2006
June 2006
August 2006
March 2007
May 2007
June 2007
August 2007
September 2007
October 2007
January 2008
February 2008
March 2008
April 2008
May 2008
September 2008
November 2008
December 2008
March 2009
April 2009
June 2009
July 2009
August 2009
September 2009
October 2009
November 2009

The Elephant Graveyard

We Are Full of Shit
The Sicilian
The Diplomad
Insults Unpunished
Fear & Loathing in Iraq
Right Wingin-It
Serenity's Journal
Son of Nixon
Rachel Lucas


Site Design by Maystar
Ask not for whom the blog tolls...
This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?
Weblog Commenting and Trackback by

Listed on Blogwise
Blogarama - The Blog Directory


Image Hosted by

Email Questions and Comments

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.
eXTReMe Tracker